Oscar Predictions

I have not the time or the will to make a detailed, in-depth analysis, so all I offer up here is my guesses on who will win, and, where I feel I can make the judgment, my personal winners.

CATEGORY Picture Director Actress Actor Supp.Actress Supp.Actor O.Screenplay A.Screenplay Foreign Film Documentary Cinematography Film Editing Animated Film Art Direction Costume Design Sound Original Score Original Song Sound Effects Visual Effects Makeup Docu Sh. Animated Sh. Live Action Sh.

WILL WIN The Queen Martin Scorsese Helen Mirren Forest Whitaker Jennifer Hudson Eddie Murphy Little Miss Sunshine The Departed Pan's Labyrinth An Inconvenient Truth Children of Men Babel Cars Pan's Labyrinth Dreamgirls Dreamgirls The Queen "I Need to Wake Up" Blood Diamond Pirates 2 Pan's Labyrinth Blood of Yingzhou... The Little Matchgirl West Bank Story

MY PICK The Departed Martin Scorsese Judi Dench Ryan Gosling Adriana Barraza Mark Wahlberg Little Miss Sunshine Children of Men Abstain (only Pan's seen) Abstain (only Truth seen) Children of Men Children of Men Any (all B-) The Good Shepherd Prada/Dreamgirls/Marie Blood Diamond Pan's Labyrinth "Listen" Blood Diamond Poseidon Pan's Labyrinth Abstain Abstain Abstain

Since the broadcast is both in the middle of the British night, and on a channel I don't have access to, I won't be able to watch the Oscars... sadly. There is a highlights show that I will have to wait a week to see (due to being back at university), but obviously I won't be waiting that long to find out the winners. So I'll have my statistics up asap, as well some comments if anything truly surprising occurs.

UPDATE:
Prediction Ratio: 14/24 (58%)
Winners here.

Brief Comments:

- I did rubbish. I like that.
- An resounding boo to Emmanuel Lubezki's loss in Best Cinematography... no movie matched Children of Men's expressive, groundbreaking work in this category, not even the eventual winner, Pan's Labyrinth (which had a dark, rich colour palette and was really excellent, but still...)
- I think my hesistancy in predicting Alan Arkin was wishful thinking... I just can't believe he won. Sigh.
- I can't feel too much animosity towards Babel's score win because I love "Deportation/Iguazu" too much... but goddammit, that isn't original! Pan's was robbed in this category.
- And joy to The Departed's four truimphs... all richly deserved and some (editing especially) a delicious surprise. Go Marty!